Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:24:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5cbb…75a1
sports · 380 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,358 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,254 · open −$104
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$328
Realized−$1,254
Unrealized−$104
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses155 / 221
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$548
Open positions4
Markets (closed)376 / 380
History coverage49d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day28.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 376 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,471
7 days−$1,195
14 days+$803
30 days+$549
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Paper Rex 56¢ 100¢ $93 $167 +$74 (+79%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 28¢ 100¢ $45 $161 +$116 (+257%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 42¢ 0¢ $65 $1 −$64 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 11¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 29¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 42¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Noma Noha Akugue 31¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Somerset Warwickshire 45¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Michele Ribecai 58¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner Yellow Submarine 48¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Alexander Donski Khololwam Montsi 59¢ 0¢ $532 $0 −$532 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 40¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Marvin Moeller 68¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 13¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner paiN 34¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Corentin Moutet 52¢ 0¢ $221 $0 −$221 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 27¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 15¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians Punjab Kings 48¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Wuxi: Fajing Sun vs Rio Noguchi Fajing Sun 55¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $382 +$232 +61%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $542 −$532 -98%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $33 −$3 -10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $157 −$157 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $226 −$226 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $364 −$364 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $113 −$113 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $277 +$348 +126%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $160 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $366 −$360 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $132 −$129 -98%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $80 +$101 +126%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $123 −$123 -100%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 11 $46 −$45 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $216 −$214 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $128 −$126 -98%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $1,266 +$598 +47%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $59 −$49 -83%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $141 −$139 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $115 +$55 +48%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $91 +$61 +67%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $764 −$758 -99%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $118 +$20 +17%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $47 −$46 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $193 −$188 -97%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $157 −$155 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $84 −$83 -99%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $339 −$339 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $151 +$239 +159%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $192 +$112 +58%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $232 −$232 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $153 +$102 +67%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $82 −$4 -5%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $45 +$110 +245%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $119 +$57 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $514 +$247 +48%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $25 +$135 +550%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $54 −$53 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $85 −$84 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $128 +$28 +22%
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Jun 08 $90 −$89 -99%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $38 −$38 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $362 −$358 -99%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $66 +$44 +67%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $220 +$202 +92%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $59 +$95 +163%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $41 −$40 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,358
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $57 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $3 31m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $1 31m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $3 31m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones SELL Filippo Romano 19¢ $30 49m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 20¢ $33 50m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 20¢ $0 54m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 20¢ $5 54m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 12¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 11¢ $18 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 45¢ $60 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 43¢ $60 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 45¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 28¢ $46 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 43¢ $7 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 41¢ $60 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 40¢ $60 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 42¢ $63 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 41¢ $63 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 13¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 56¢ $94 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 37¢ $23 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 37¢ $16 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 37¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 37¢ $14 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 50¢ $79 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 50¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 50¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 17¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-23.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -13.0% -21.3% 38% 36% -16.3%
≤30d 204 -9.0% -17.7% 45% 43% -7.6%
≤90d 376 -15.5% -23.6% 41% 40% -12.6%
all 376 -15.5% -23.6% 41% 40% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.6% 40% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -30.9% 37% -20.9%
15% -37.6% 33% -28.6%
20% -43.7% 28% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $328.36 · official $328.36 (match) · 1675 history records