Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5ce4…62fc
crypto · 1656 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21,335 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21,336 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$21,336
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses876 / 531
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$542
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1407 / 1656
History coverage107d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day24.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1407 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,722
7 days−$5,256
14 days−$5,317
30 days−$5,454
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 54¢ 76¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Pau: Raphael Collignon vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 14 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $124 −$124 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$8,162
other 16% −$8,332
crypto 5% +$1,066
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 896 +9.3% -1.1% 56% 56% -71.3%
≤30d 1271 +19.2% +7.9% 62% 62% -60.1%
≤90d 1358 +17.4% +6.2% 62% 61% -29.4%
all 1407 +16.1% +5.0% 62% 60% -30.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.0% 60% -30.2%
10% ← realistic here -5.0% 58% -36.9%
15% -14.2% 57% -43.0%
20% -22.6% 57% -48.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.77 · official $3.77 (match) · 3500 history records