Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:32:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5cfb…62b8
crypto · 774 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,058 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,051 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,051
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses343 / 427
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions3
Markets (closed)770 / 774
History coverage190d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 770 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$12
14 days−$58
30 days−$1,002
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kingston Flemings be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Yes 14¢ 2¢ $3 $0 −$2 (-84%)
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Will Mikel Brown Jr. be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG (BO3) Voca 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3) Voca 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SkinRave vs Phoenix (BO3) Phoenix 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs SINQU (BO1) SINQU 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: The QUBE Esports vs Boring Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs Boring Players 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Z7 Esports (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B Z7 Esports 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on May 17? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SIUUUUUU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO1) SIUUUUUU 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs Bebop 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) HOTU 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Boring Players vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffs Boring Players 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on May 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage PARIVISION 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Fire Flux Esports 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs SINQU (BO1) SINQU 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 5? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs DimoniX Esports (BO1) DimoniX Esports 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: Howlers vs yung (BO3) Howlers 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$12 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$15 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$17 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$13 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$20 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$8 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$14 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$14 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$10 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$18 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 06 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 05 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 05 $41 −$11 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$15 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 05 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 05 $41 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $92 −$9 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 05 $41 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 05 $41 −$8 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$7 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 05 $8 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 05 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$14 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 05 $31 +$18 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 05 $21 +$4 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$932
sports 10% +$23
other 2% −$63
weather 1% −$81
world 0% −$3
economics 0% −$8
finance 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $28 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $33 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $24 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $44 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $24 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $28 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $32 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -0.9% -10.3% 66% 59% -8.1%
≤30d 418 -16.6% -24.5% 53% 46% -15.0%
≤90d 614 -18.4% -26.2% 47% 41% -14.3%
all 770 -17.7% -25.6% 45% 40% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.6% 40% -14.6%
10% -32.7% 29% -22.8%
15% -39.2% 22% -30.2%
20% -45.2% 17% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.57 · official $1.57 (match) · 1631 history records