Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T19:29:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5D 0x5d0d…34dc crypto 359 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (132 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$108 (-3%) realized −$108 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate78%280W / 79L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day131.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days−$104
14 days−$122
30 days−$122
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (132 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 -7.2% -16.0% 73% 14% -12.7%
≤30d 359 -5.7% -14.7% 78% 14% -12.7%
≤90d 359 -5.7% -14.7% 78% 14% -12.7%
all 359 -5.7% -14.7% 78% 14% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover131.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 14% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 10% -21.1%
15% -30.3% 9% -28.7%
20% -37.1% 6% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses280 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)359 / 359
History coverage8d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day131.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 359 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $84 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $142 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$9 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $71 −$9 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1460 history records