trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Jun 12 | $154 | −$154 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $966 | −$966 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 12 | $3,000 | −$3,000 | -100% |
| Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Ye | Jun 12 | $334 | −$287 | -86% |
| Will Myles Garrett win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Jun 12 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Ol | Jun 12 | $139 | −$139 | -100% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $6,727 | −$6,727 | -100% |
| Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $4,620 | −$4,620 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jun 12 | $74 | −$61 | -83% |
| Will Aidan Hutchinson be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year | Jun 12 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) | Jun 12 | $674 | −$674 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $1,883 | −$1,883 | -100% |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $1,302 | −$1,302 | -100% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $330 | −$101 | -30% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $3,460 | −$3,474 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $258 | −$258 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship? | Jun 12 | $254 | −$254 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Jun 12 | $3,900 | −$3,900 | -100% |
| Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia | Jun 12 | $916 | −$916 | -100% |
| Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Jun 12 | $130 | −$130 | -100% |
| Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Jun 12 | $420 | −$420 | -100% |
| Spread: 76ers (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $4,160 | −$4,160 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. 76ers | Jun 12 | $201 | −$201 | -100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Jun 12 | $14,879 | −$14,879 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5 | Jun 12 | $180 | −$180 | -100% |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$2 | -71% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will David Bailey be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Lakers | Jun 12 | $2,640 | −$2,640 | -100% |
| Maduro out by February 28, 2026? | Jun 12 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) | Jun 12 | $825 | −$825 | -100% |
| Will Aidan Hutchinson win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | Jun 12 | $340 | −$340 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $2,904 | −$2,904 | -100% |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $4,663 | −$4,691 | -101% |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) | Jun 12 | $1,583 | −$1,583 | -100% |
| Will Micah Parsons win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $665 | −$665 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Nuggets | Jun 12 | $221 | −$221 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Hawks | Jun 12 | $9,780 | −$9,780 | -100% |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | Jun 12 | $382 | −$382 | -100% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $5,600 | −$5,600 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $1,682 | −$1,682 | -100% |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) | Jun 12 | $1,590 | −$1,590 | -100% |
| Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Jun 12 | $44 | −$34 | -78% |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 | Jun 12 | $6,378 | −$6,442 | -101% |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | Jun 12 | $9,800 | −$9,800 | -100% |
| Spread: Bulls (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $3,121 | −$3,121 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 187 | -91.7% | -92.5% | 2% | 2% | -95.5% |
| ≤30d | 187 | -91.7% | -92.5% | 2% | 2% | -95.5% |
| ≤90d | 187 | -91.7% | -92.5% | 2% | 2% | -95.5% |
| all | 187 | -91.7% | -92.5% | 2% | 2% | -95.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -92.5% | 2% | -95.5% |
| 10% | -93.2% | 1% | -95.9% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -93.9% | 1% | -96.3% |
| 20% | -94.5% | 1% | -96.7% |