Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d1d…afd2
crypto · 696 markets active 13h ago
0.0score
+$8,930 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$8,917
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27,642
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$8,917
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses341 / 342
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$2,191
Open positions53
Markets (closed)683 / 696
History coverage2d
Avg bet$432
Trades / day1691.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 53 History 683 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$428
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 18¢ 80¢ $2,305 $10,193 +$7,888 (+342%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 60¢ $3,286 $3,332 +$46 (+1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 81¢ $3,166 $3,131 −$35 (-1%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 32¢ 100¢ $521 $1,597 +$1,077 (+207%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 80¢ $1,422 $1,425 +$3 (+0%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? No 80¢ 80¢ $886 $888 +$3 (+0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $878 $887 +$8 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? No 85¢ 86¢ $705 $706 +$1 (+0%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? No 80¢ 81¢ $620 $632 +$13 (+2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? No 79¢ 80¢ $622 $625 +$4 (+1%)
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 72¢ 72¢ $425 $422 −$3 (-1%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? No 56¢ 56¢ $372 $370 −$2 (-1%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $334 $304 −$29 (-9%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $300 $304 +$4 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Yes 34¢ 32¢ $261 $249 −$11 (-4%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 50¢ 57¢ $210 $241 +$31 (+15%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $222 $233 +$11 (+5%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? No 81¢ 76¢ $226 $214 −$13 (-6%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? No 83¢ 80¢ $218 $208 −$10 (-5%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 66¢ 68¢ $197 $202 +$4 (+2%)
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? No 75¢ 74¢ $135 $134 −$1 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $129 $128 −$1 (-1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 85¢ 81¢ $120 $115 −$6 (-5%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score Yes 34¢ 33¢ $112 $109 −$3 (-3%)
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? No 73¢ 72¢ $107 $107 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $2,854 +$634 +22%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $2,389 +$747 +31%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5,400 −$3,991 -74%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $245 +$228 +93%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10,206 −$7,923 -78%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $937 −$937 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2,787 −$2,787 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $1,017 −$1,017 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $154 +$198 +129%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $856 +$509 +60%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $999 +$1,454 +146%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $3,774 −$3,633 -96%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $8,964 +$5,639 +63%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 11 $110 +$55 +50%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 11 $91 −$91 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $3,653 +$1,953 +54%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $2,027 +$1,609 +79%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $130 +$154 +119%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $105 −$105 -100%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $154 +$304 +197%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $273 +$299 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$9 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $34 −$34 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $112 +$15 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $128 +$53 +42%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $554 −$179 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $309 +$79 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $696 −$152 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $270 −$270 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $435 −$435 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $485 −$485 -100%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $1,159 −$1,159 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $103 −$99 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $54 −$38 -70%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$5 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$15 +237%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$37 +175%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $168 +$28 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $934 −$871 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $53 +$33 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 11, 10AM ET? Jun 11 $67 +$28 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $73 +$45 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $45 −$45 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$10,635
sports 36% +$22,573
other 10% −$3,008
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $5,087 13h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes SELL Hurricanes 58¢ $1,409 13h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 77¢ $6,692 15h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 81¢ $68 17h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 81¢ $937 17h
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY No 74¢ $42 17h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 81¢ $24 17h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 33¢ $7 17h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 15¢ $2,283 17h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 80¢ $82 17h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 81¢ $154 17h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 81¢ $51 17h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 80¢ $161 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 81¢ $30 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 81¢ $30 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 81¢ $30 17h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 5¢ $140 17h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 40¢ $999 17h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 51¢ $12 17h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 78¢ $152 17h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 50¢ $103 17h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 50¢ $98 17h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 51¢ $245 17h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $2,787 18h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 32¢ $2,567 18h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 36¢ $1,916 18h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 32¢ $1,581 18h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 36¢ $340 18h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 35¢ $394 18h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $170 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 683 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 47% -10.3%
≤30d 683 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 47% -10.3%
≤90d 683 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 47% -10.3%
all 683 +2.4% -7.3% 50% 47% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1691.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 47% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 39% -18.9%
15% -24.3% 27% -26.7%
20% -31.7% 18% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27,641.74 · official $27,642.25 (match) · 3500 history records