Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d21…5848
other · 6 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$37 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$101
Trades / day280.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$37
7 days−$37
14 days−$37
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? Jun 12 $229 −$13 -6%
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -43%
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Will Neal Shipley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $95 −$6 -6%
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $270 −$16 -6%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Atlanta Falcons next? Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 0m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 0m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 0m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 1m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 1m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 1m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 2m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 2m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 2m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 2m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 2m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 3m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 3m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 3m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 4m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 8m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 8m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 9m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 9m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 10m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 10m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 10m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 11m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 11m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 11m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 12m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 12m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 13m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -12.0% -20.4% 0% 0% -15.0%
≤30d 6 -12.0% -20.4% 0% 0% -15.0%
≤90d 6 -12.0% -20.4% 0% 0% -15.0%
all 6 -12.0% -20.4% 0% 0% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover280.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 0% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 0% -23.2%
15% -35.0% 0% -30.6%
20% -41.3% 0% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 280 history records