Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:30:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d23…0972
crypto · 417 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$168 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$187 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$187
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses281 / 135
Open positions1
Markets (closed)416 / 417
History coverage92d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 416 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+51%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Apr 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Amiens SC win on 2026-04-03? Apr 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Apr 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Apr 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Apr 03 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Apr 03 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Apr 03 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Apr 03 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Apr 03 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Mar 30 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Mar 30 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Mar 30 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Mar 30 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Mar 30 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Mar 30 $6 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Mar 30 $2 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Mar 30 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Mar 30 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Mar 30 $9 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Mar 30 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Mar 30 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Mar 29 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Mar 29 $8 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Mar 29 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Mar 29 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Mar 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Mar 29 $2 −$2 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Mar 29 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Mar 29 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 29 $3 −$2 -50%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 29 $167 −$19 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Mar 29 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Mar 28 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Mar 28 $6 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Mar 28 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Mar 28 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Mar 28 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Mar 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Mar 28 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Mar 28 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Mar 28 $4 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$161
other 6% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2h
Will Amiens SC win on 2026-04-03? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $2 72d
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 72d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 72d
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 72d
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 72d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 73d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 76d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 76d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 76d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 76d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 76d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +29.8% +17.4% 75% 75% +6.6%
≤30d 8 +29.8% +17.4% 75% 75% +6.6%
≤90d 411 -8.0% -16.8% 67% 27% -16.5%
all 416 -7.5% -16.3% 68% 28% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.3% 28% -15.8%
10% -24.3% 15% -23.9%
15% -31.6% 11% -31.2%
20% -38.3% 6% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.27 · official $5.27 (match) · 1664 history records