trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 34 | +50.1% | +35.8% | 53% | 50% | +0.5% |
| ≤30d | 38 | +44.3% | +30.6% | 53% | 50% | -2.2% |
| ≤90d | 38 | +44.3% | +30.6% | 53% | 50% | -2.2% |
| all | 38 | +44.3% | +30.6% | 53% | 50% | -2.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +30.6% | 50% | -2.2% |
| 10% | +18.1% | 50% | -11.5% |
| 15% | +6.7% | 47% | -20.1% |
| 20% | -3.8% | 45% | -27.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $104 | $128 | +$24 (+23%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $74 | $73 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $80 | $70 | −$10 (-12%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 57¢ | 81¢ | $34 | $49 | +$15 (+43%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $47 | $46 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $30 | $27 | −$2 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $19 | +$6 | +33% |
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $36 | +$48 | +134% |
| Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Spread: Canada (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $15 | +$35 | +226% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $19 | +$14 | +76% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $4 | +$36 | +1011% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $16 | +$10 | +62% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$3 | +58% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $25 | +$25 | +97% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $33 | −$32 | -99% |
| Spread: Colombia (-2.5) | Jun 18 | $14 | −$8 | -59% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $46 | +$64 | +140% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $7 | +$10 | +129% |
| Will Paraguay finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group | Jun 17 | $58 | −$5 | -8% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $14 | +$16 | +114% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $62 | −$61 | -99% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $17 | +$23 | +140% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $23 | +$34 | +150% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $21 | −$21 | -99% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $64 | +$36 | +57% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $39 | −$38 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $24 | +$26 | +109% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $38 | −$38 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $58 | −$57 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $23 | +$27 | +114% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $43 | +$92 | +216% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 12 | $60 | −$59 | -98% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $26 | +$36 | +140% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $71 | +$29 | +41% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |