Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d3b…76e3
other · 256 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$85 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses12 / 244
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)256 / 256
History coverage134d
Avg bet$217
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 256 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$12
14 days−$22
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $202 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $134 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $629 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 13 $255 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $392 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 12 $304 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $457 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $564 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $356 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $480 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $397 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $110 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $334 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $878 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $741 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $221 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $68 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $165 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $296 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $308 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $139 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $144 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $817 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $371 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $146 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $438 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $257 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $703 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $70 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $383 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $349 −$1 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $360 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $166 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $669 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $72 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $72 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $346 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $72 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $160 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $245 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $420 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $353 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $427 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? May 29 $298 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 29 $149 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $410 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 28 $401 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 28 $151 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $238 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $247 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$39
sports 24% −$21
economics 7% −$5
politics 7% −$4
crypto 5% −$8
world 4% −$2
culture 4% −$5
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $65 55m
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $65 2h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $65 6h
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $66 7h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $66 12h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $66 15h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $66 18h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $66 19h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $66 24h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $66 25h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $66 27h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $66 28h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $66 30h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $66 31h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $66 36h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $66 38h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $66 2d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $66 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $66 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $67 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $67 3d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $67 3d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $67 3d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $67 3d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $67 3d
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $67 4d
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $67 4d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $67 4d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $67 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 74 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 183 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 256 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1366 history records