Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:21:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d42…39d3
crypto · 106 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$116 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$168 · open +$53
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$203
Realized−$168
Unrealized+$53
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses19 / 69
Open positions18
Markets (closed)88 / 106
History coverage128d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 18 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days+$38
14 days+$19
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 16? Yes 26¢ 32¢ $27 $32 +$6 (+21%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Yes 17¢ 82¢ $6 $29 +$23 (+385%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? No 84¢ 74¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-12%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Yes 19¢ 54¢ $6 $16 +$10 (+182%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Yes 27¢ 90¢ $5 $15 +$11 (+233%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? No 97¢ 95¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 16? Yes 47¢ 45¢ $13 $13 −$1 (-4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? Yes 22¢ 38¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+76%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30? No 95¢ 90¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? Yes 22¢ 38¢ $4 $8 +$3 (+79%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? Yes 29¢ 34¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+19%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? Yes 37¢ 64¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+73%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 14? Yes 40¢ 56¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+41%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 15? Yes 43¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+15%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Yes 23¢ 36¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+57%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? Yes 24¢ 6¢ $5 $1 −$3 (-73%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? Yes 24¢ 1¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-95%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11? No 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 4? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 5? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 +$22 +398%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $6 +$18 +312%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $12 +$24 +192%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 10? Jun 08 $4 −$4 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 9? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 11? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9? Jun 07 $6 −$6 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 10? Jun 07 $6 −$6 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? Jun 07 $5 −$4 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 5? Jun 01 $4 −$3 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 5? Jun 01 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 4? May 31 $3 −$3 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 4? May 31 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3? May 30 $4 −$4 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 3? May 30 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2? May 29 $6 −$6 -97%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 2? May 29 $3 −$2 -96%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 30? May 29 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 1? May 29 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 31? May 29 $6 −$6 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30? May 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 1? May 28 $4 −$4 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28? May 25 $5 −$4 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 27? May 25 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28? May 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23? May 10 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11? May 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 23? May 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24? May 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? May 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 19? May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 24? Apr 22 $3 −$3 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 24? Apr 22 $7 −$7 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24? Apr 22 $20 −$19 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24? Apr 22 $16 −$15 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 23? Apr 21 $12 −$11 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23? Apr 21 $7 −$6 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24? Apr 21 $9 −$9 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 19? Apr 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15? Apr 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12? Apr 11 $1 $0 -62%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12? Apr 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? Apr 11 $3 $0 -8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 5? Apr 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 10? Apr 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9? Apr 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10? Apr 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% −$119
sports 10% +$11
tech 8% −$3
other 4% +$2
politics 3% $0
finance 1% −$7
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 16? BUY Yes 47¢ $14 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 26¢ $28 6h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 15? BUY Yes 43¢ $3 29h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 22¢ $6 30h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 29¢ $6 30h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 14? BUY Yes 40¢ $4 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 37¢ $3 2d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $15 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 10? BUY Yes 30¢ $4 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 9? BUY Yes 36¢ $3 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 11? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 19¢ $6 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 18¢ $6 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 17¢ $6 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 19¢ $6 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 4d
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? BUY No 83¢ $15 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 23¢ $6 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8? BUY Yes 33¢ $6 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8? BUY Yes 33¢ $6 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 5? BUY Yes 31¢ $4 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-54.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +20.2% +8.8% 30% 30% +59.7%
≤30d 26 -53.8% -58.2% 12% 12% -27.7%
≤90d 63 -65.9% -69.1% 13% 8% -54.1%
all 88 -49.3% -54.1% 22% 15% -44.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -54.1% 15% -44.5%
10% -58.5% 14% -49.8%
15% -62.5% 11% -54.7%
20% -66.2% 10% -59.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $203.14 · official $205.43 · 184 history records