Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:38:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d4a…55d3
crypto · 542 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$227 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$234 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$128
Realized+$234
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses228 / 307
Open positions8
Markets (closed)535 / 542
Avg bet$26
Trades / day2959.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 535 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$234
7 days+$234
14 days+$234
30 days+$234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $35 $37 +$1 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 86¢ 74¢ $18 $16 −$2 (-13%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 95¢ 94¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 74¢ 80¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 73¢ 76¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 23¢ 20¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-11%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 17¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 27¢ 14¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 92¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 92¢ 86¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 16¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 44¢ 6¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-85%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1264%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$22 +158%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$29 +204%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$8 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $94 −$1 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$4 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$4 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$1 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$7 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -24%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$12 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$8 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$19 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -88%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$1 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$5 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $61 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$14 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$57 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$13 +106%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +53%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$233
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $3 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $7 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 535 -3.9% -13.0% 43% 26% -8.0%
≤30d 535 -3.9% -13.0% 43% 26% -8.0%
≤90d 535 -3.9% -13.0% 43% 26% -8.0%
all 535 -3.9% -13.0% 43% 26% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2959.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 26% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 16% -16.8%
15% -28.9% 11% -24.8%
20% -35.9% 10% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $128.43 · official $126.31 · 3500 history records