Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:16:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d55…3953
crypto · 396 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,008 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$982 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$63
Realized−$982
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses159 / 237
Open positions1
Markets (closed)396 / 396
History coverage2d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day387.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 396 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$888
7 days−$982
14 days−$982
30 days−$982
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $26 $37 +$12 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $24 $25 +$2 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$25 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$25 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$12 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$56 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $79 −$20 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $72 +$11 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$27 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$8 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$20 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$8 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$25 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$9 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$18 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$6 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$14 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $91 −$20 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$29 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$14 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$13 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$21 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$23 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$21 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$32 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$8 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$12 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$16 -53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,009
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $12 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $21 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $16 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $13 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $15 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $13 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $9 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $24 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $12 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $14 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $24 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $24 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $15 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 396 -13.6% -21.8% 40% 34% -18.0%
≤30d 396 -13.6% -21.8% 40% 34% -18.0%
≤90d 396 -13.6% -21.8% 40% 34% -18.0%
all 396 -13.6% -21.8% 40% 34% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover387.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.8% 34% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 25% -25.8%
15% -36.1% 19% -33.0%
20% -42.4% 15% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62.89 · official $66.60 · 3500 history records