Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:51:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d5f…1897
crypto · 267 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,065 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,005 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$1,005
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses152 / 114
Open positions2
Markets (closed)266 / 267
History coverage1d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day2415.4
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,005
7 days+$1,005
14 days+$1,005
30 days+$1,005
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 0¢ 46¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $83 +$55 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$9 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $56 +$41 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$33 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $108 +$54 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $48 +$9 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $37 +$20 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $49 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $105 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $69 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $68 +$57 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$17 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $184 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$16 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $175 +$59 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $166 −$165 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$24 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $82 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $82 −$14 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $96 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $209 +$121 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$26 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $149 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $76 +$34 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$16 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $69 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$23 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $133 +$15 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $75 −$36 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $240 +$106 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$30 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $58 +$17 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $48 −$14 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $59 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$24 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$41 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $163 −$18 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $66 +$20 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$55 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $57 −$37 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$15 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $132 +$34 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$984
other 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $16 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $30 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $20 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $11 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $17 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $14 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $19 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 266 -1.6% -11.0% 57% 42% -4.9%
≤30d 266 -1.6% -11.0% 57% 42% -4.9%
≤90d 266 -1.6% -11.0% 57% 42% -4.9%
all 266 -1.6% -11.0% 57% 42% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2415.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 42% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 27% -14.0%
15% -27.3% 15% -22.3%
20% -34.4% 9% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.08 · official $28.11 · 2786 history records