Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:04:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d6f…8206
crypto · 1226 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$348 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$418 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$418
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses782 / 443
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1225 / 1226
History coverage66d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day19.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1225 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$81
14 days−$62
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +81%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$185
sports 24% −$183
other 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 29h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 29h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 33h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -14.3% -22.5% 46% 46% -23.6%
≤30d 531 -3.3% -12.5% 52% 52% -12.7%
≤90d 1225 -4.1% -13.3% 64% 57% -13.3%
all 1225 -4.1% -13.3% 64% 57% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 57% -13.3%
10% -21.6% 56% -21.6%
15% -29.2% 42% -29.2%
20% -36.1% 24% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2086 history records