Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:03:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d85…961e
crypto · 74 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$39 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses28 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 74
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day125.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$39
14 days−$39
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$33 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$8 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$25 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$7 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$12 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$7 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$17 +151%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $11 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +3.8% -6.1% 38% 34% -14.5%
≤30d 74 +3.8% -6.1% 38% 34% -14.5%
≤90d 74 +3.8% -6.1% 38% 34% -14.5%
all 74 +3.8% -6.1% 38% 34% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover125.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 34% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 28% -22.7%
15% -23.3% 24% -30.1%
20% -30.8% 20% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 215 history records