Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:26:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d8b…dc3a
crypto · 842 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$252 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$171 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$171
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses328 / 513
Open positions0
Markets (closed)841 / 842
History coverage84d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 841 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$124
7 days−$187
14 days−$6
30 days+$176
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+150%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+131%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$14 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$18 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$18 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$171
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 297 +4.9% -5.1% 36% 36% -19.6%
≤30d 822 +5.6% -4.5% 39% 39% -5.8%
≤90d 841 +4.6% -5.3% 39% 39% -6.0%
all 841 +4.6% -5.3% 39% 39% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.3% 39% -6.0%
10% -14.4% 39% -15.0%
15% -22.7% 38% -23.2%
20% -30.2% 38% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.17 · official $0.00 · 1260 history records