Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:47:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5D 0x5d94…5b2e crypto 72 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (250 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$139 (-6%) realized −$139 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate44%32W / 40L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day250.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$202
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (250 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -9.7% -18.3% 44% 36% -18.0%
≤30d 72 -9.7% -18.3% 44% 36% -18.0%
≤90d 72 -9.7% -18.3% 44% 36% -18.0%
all 72 -9.7% -18.3% 44% 36% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover250.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 36% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 32% -25.8%
15% -33.3% 28% -33.0%
20% -39.8% 22% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late -28% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$14 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$139
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses32 / 40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage1d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day250.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 72 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$6 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$5 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$20 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $45 −$45 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$14 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$6 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$12 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $32 −$17 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$11 -56%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $105 −$12 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $71 +$30 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$3 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$4 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $54 +$12 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$7 +374%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$16 +346%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$8 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $119 −$35 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $72 −$72 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$30 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $7 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $12 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $41 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $15 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $11 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $22 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $8 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 322 history records