Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:36:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5da3…4e93
crypto · 117 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$19 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses105 / 5
Open positions7
Markets (closed)110 / 117
History coverage624d
Avg bet$110
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 7 History 110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June? No 99¢ 98¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No 84¢ 82¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? No 96¢ 99¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? No 96¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? No 98¢ 97¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 83¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? Jun 14 $6 $0 +8%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 01 $9 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 12? May 13 $149 $0 +0%
Will Meta (META) close above $420 end of April? May 04 $4 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27? May 04 $151 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 20? Apr 26 $153 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18? Apr 19 $156 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on April 16? Apr 17 $152 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 12? Apr 13 $160 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 3? Apr 05 $165 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? Apr 02 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 1? Apr 02 $151 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA reach $228 in March? Apr 01 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 30? Mar 31 $149 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 27? Mar 29 $156 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 25? Mar 26 $154 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 23? Mar 24 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 21? Mar 22 $160 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 19? Mar 20 $165 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? Mar 17 $158 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 12? Mar 14 $163 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8? Mar 11 $160 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 6? Mar 07 $163 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 4? Mar 05 $156 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 1? Mar 03 $162 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 27? Feb 28 $162 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 24? Feb 25 $160 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 21? Feb 22 $162 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 18? Feb 19 $158 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 16? Feb 17 $157 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 1 Feb 15 $156 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 13? Feb 14 $155 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on February 11? Feb 12 $161 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 9 Feb 09 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 7? Feb 08 $156 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 5? Feb 05 $160 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on February 3? Feb 04 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $98,000 on February 1? Feb 01 $157 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? Feb 01 $3 $0 +2%
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January? Feb 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 30? Jan 30 $151 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on January 28? Jan 29 $152 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 25? Jan 26 $155 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on January Jan 23 $159 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 19? Jan 20 $165 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 16? Jan 17 $162 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 13? Jan 14 $156 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 9? Jan 10 $158 $0 +0%
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025? Jan 07 $5 +$1 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 6? Jan 07 $157 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% +$6
politics 34% +$8
other 0% +$5
tech 0% −$4
economics 0% −$2
weather 0% +$3
world 0% $0
finance 0% +$1
sports 0% +$1
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June? BUY No 99¢ $4 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY No 84¢ $4 1h
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? BUY No 98¢ $3 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 99¢ $7 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 12? BUY No 100¢ $149 34d
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? BUY No 92¢ $6 40d
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 93¢ $2 40d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27? BUY Yes 100¢ $151 48d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 20? BUY No 100¢ $153 56d
Will Meta (META) close above $420 end of April? BUY Yes 100¢ $4 56d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18? BUY No 100¢ $156 58d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on April 16? BUY No 100¢ $152 60d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? BUY No 96¢ $3 61d
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? BUY No 96¢ $3 61d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 12? BUY No 100¢ $160 64d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 3? BUY No 100¢ $165 73d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 1? BUY No 100¢ $151 75d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 30? BUY No 100¢ $149 77d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 27? BUY No 100¢ $156 79d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 25? BUY Yes 100¢ $154 82d
Will NVIDIA reach $228 in March? BUY No 99¢ $3 83d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $5 83d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 23? BUY No 100¢ $159 84d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 21? BUY No 100¢ $160 85d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 19? BUY No 100¢ $165 88d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? BUY No 100¢ $158 91d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 12? BUY No 100¢ $163 95d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8? BUY No 100¢ $160 98d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 6? BUY Yes 100¢ $163 100d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +8.1% -2.2% 100% 0% -2.2%
≤30d 2 +5.4% -4.6% 100% 0% -5.2%
≤90d 20 +0.7% -8.9% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 110 +3.6% -6.3% 95% 18% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.3% 18% -9.4%
10% -15.3% 11% -18.1%
15% -23.5% 8% -26.0%
20% -31.0% 5% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.23 · official $23.23 (match) · 244 history records