Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5dc6…3609
crypto · 784 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$227 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$225 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized+$225
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses366 / 418
Open positions1
Markets (closed)784 / 784
History coverage4d
Avg bet$72
Trades / day730.5
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 784 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$217
7 days+$225
14 days+$225
30 days+$225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 68¢ 72¢ $34 $36 +$2 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $216 −$16 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$13 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$18 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $209 −$9 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$19 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $209 −$59 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $122 −$22 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$26 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$20 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $159 +$91 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $261 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $216 −$66 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$27 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $208 −$58 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $145 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $143 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$79 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$22 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$12 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $86 +$14 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $258 −$58 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$16 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$24 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$16 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$15 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$59 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$9 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$42 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$45 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$45 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$14 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$13 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$19 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$227
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $35 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $32 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $35 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $28 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $24 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $16 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $33 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $33 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $32 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $35 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $29 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $32 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $23 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $31 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $32 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $32 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $25 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $18 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $14 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $17 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $34 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 784 -1.6% -11.0% 47% 39% -9.2%
≤30d 784 -1.6% -11.0% 47% 39% -9.2%
≤90d 784 -1.6% -11.0% 47% 39% -9.2%
all 784 -1.6% -11.0% 47% 39% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover730.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 39% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 34% -17.9%
15% -27.3% 29% -25.8%
20% -34.4% 13% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.99 · official $23.25 · 3500 history records