| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$8 |
+$1 |
+13% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$475 |
−$239 |
-50% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 m |
Jun 16 |
$29 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 |
Jun 16 |
$9,571 |
+$40 |
+0% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
Jun 14 |
$11 |
+$1 |
+12% |
| AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? |
Jun 14 |
$278 |
+$5 |
+2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? |
Jun 08 |
$4,281 |
+$19 |
+0% |
| Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? |
Jun 04 |
$4,166 |
+$34 |
+1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? |
Jun 02 |
$195 |
+$10 |
+5% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? |
Jun 02 |
$1,588 |
+$15 |
+1% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? |
Jun 01 |
$766 |
+$11 |
+2% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? |
Jun 01 |
$8,090 |
+$185 |
+2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? |
May 31 |
$154 |
+$10 |
+7% |
| Canada recession before 2027? |
May 29 |
$134 |
+$6 |
+5% |
| Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? |
May 28 |
$97 |
+$8 |
+8% |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
May 28 |
$55 |
+$53 |
+97% |
| Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting? |
May 28 |
$249 |
+$11 |
+4% |
| Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May M |
May 28 |
$758 |
+$29 |
+4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? |
May 27 |
$7 |
+$3 |
+37% |
| Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? |
May 24 |
$822 |
−$523 |
-64% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? |
May 23 |
$318 |
+$16 |
+5% |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22? |
May 23 |
$71 |
+$4 |
+5% |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? |
May 18 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-97% |
| Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldw |
May 18 |
$886 |
+$2 |
+0% |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi |
May 17 |
$108 |
+$1 |
+0% |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwi |
May 17 |
$99 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026? |
May 17 |
$108 |
+$2 |
+2% |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May? |
May 16 |
$2,080 |
+$75 |
+4% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait o |
May 15 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit? |
May 14 |
$791 |
+$3 |
+0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? |
May 13 |
$2,900 |
+$8 |
+0% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? |
May 13 |
$58 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May? |
May 13 |
$915 |
+$5 |
+1% |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30? |
May 12 |
$2,752 |
+$43 |
+2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? |
May 12 |
$2,418 |
+$44 |
+2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? |
May 12 |
$72 |
+$1 |
+1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? |
May 12 |
$180 |
+$6 |
+3% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? |
May 11 |
$9 |
+$1 |
+8% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? |
May 10 |
$145 |
+$5 |
+4% |
| Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 Un |
May 10 |
$167 |
+$2 |
+1% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10? |
May 09 |
$363 |
+$11 |
+3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? |
May 09 |
$10 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: April |
May 09 |
$586 |
+$11 |
+2% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8? |
May 08 |
$3,708 |
+$32 |
+1% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9? |
May 08 |
$98 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7? |
May 07 |
$805 |
+$3 |
+0% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6? |
May 06 |
$3,337 |
+$8 |
+0% |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
May 05 |
$8 |
+$4 |
+48% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5? |
May 05 |
$336 |
+$4 |
+1% |
| Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026? |
May 04 |
$1,500 |
+$5 |
+0% |