Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5dde…b538
politics · 63 markets active 3h ago
1.0score
+$12 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses23 / 40
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage290d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 0 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Netanyahu out by June 30? Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $98 −$1 -0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 09 $35 $0 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 09 $98 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 08 $81 +$6 +7%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 25 $80 +$3 +4%
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most Apr 24 $38 −$1 -2%
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the Apr 24 $81 −$1 -1%
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? Apr 22 $80 +$2 +2%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? Apr 21 $83 −$4 -4%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Apr 17 $40 +$4 +10%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 03 $48 +$3 +6%
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 02 $568 $0 +0%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 01 $624 $0 +0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 01 $568 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 01 $30 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Mar 31 $139 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Mar 31 $624 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jan 16 $5 $0 -3%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 15 $2 $0 -16%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 12 $8 $0 +6%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jan 02 $5 $0 -0%
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? Dec 31 $26 +$1 +3%
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 13 $57 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 13 $58 $0 -0%
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? Oct 13 $26 $0 +0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 12 $19 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan? Oct 12 $21 $0 +0%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 11 $103 $0 -0%
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the Oct 11 $2 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? Oct 11 $4 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? Oct 10 $25 $0 +0%
Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31? Oct 10 $24 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? Oct 10 $24 $0 -1%
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 09 $24 $0 +0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 09 $28 $0 +0%
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Oct 08 $32 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 07 $31 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 07 $31 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? Oct 07 $32 $0 +0%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? Oct 06 $32 $0 +0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Oct 06 $32 $0 -1%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 05 $32 $0 +0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no Oct 05 $32 +$1 +2%
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Sep 27 $31 $0 +0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Sep 16 $9 $0 +1%
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Sep 13 $31 $0 -0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025? Sep 12 $36 $0 +1%
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? Sep 11 $31 $0 -1%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? Sep 11 $31 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 39% +$1
other 21% $0
economics 15% $0
world 11% +$6
sports 8% +$6
finance 3% −$3
tech 3% +$3
crypto 1% $0
culture 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netanyahu out by June 30? SELL Yes 2¢ $3 3h
Netanyahu out by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 5h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 95¢ $97 2d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $98 2d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 39¢ $35 2d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY Yes 39¢ $19 2d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY Yes 39¢ $16 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL Yes 60¢ $49 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL Yes 60¢ $49 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 60¢ $98 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 46¢ $87 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 43¢ $14 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 43¢ $68 3d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? SELL No 90¢ $82 48d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY No 87¢ $80 48d
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most SELL Yes 12¢ $14 48d
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most SELL Yes 12¢ $2 48d
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most SELL Yes 12¢ $10 48d
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most SELL Yes 12¢ $11 48d
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most BUY Yes 13¢ $38 48d
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the SELL Yes 48¢ $80 49d
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the BUY Yes 48¢ $37 49d
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the BUY Yes 48¢ $29 49d
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the BUY Yes 48¢ $15 49d
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? SELL No 91¢ $62 51d
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? SELL No 91¢ $20 51d
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? BUY No 89¢ $19 51d
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? BUY No 89¢ $61 51d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? SELL No 70¢ $79 52d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? BUY No 73¢ $83 52d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +1.3% -8.4% 40% 0% -8.0%
≤30d 5 +1.3% -8.4% 40% 0% -8.0%
≤90d 18 +1.1% -8.5% 39% 0% -9.2%
all 63 +0.3% -9.2% 37% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 0% -9.3%
10% -17.9% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 244 history records