Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:06:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5dde…1bf6
other · 230 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$82 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses6 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)230 / 230
History coverage123d
Avg bet$202
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 230 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$17
14 days−$26
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $283 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $267 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $454 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $181 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $457 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $447 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $168 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $158 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $124 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $484 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $236 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $777 −$2 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $530 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $136 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $525 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $159 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 09 $216 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $249 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $235 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 08 $552 −$2 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $386 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $242 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $267 −$1 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 08 $319 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $115 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $262 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $175 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $104 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $120 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $176 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $168 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $313 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $299 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $126 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $119 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $258 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $127 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $219 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $467 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $237 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $54 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $356 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $138 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 04 $199 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $418 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $141 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 02 $184 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $180 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $239 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 01 $135 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$32
sports 23% −$16
politics 9% −$10
culture 8% −$7
economics 6% −$11
world 5% −$2
crypto 5% −$4
tech 2% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $48 18m
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $48 1h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $48 3h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $48 4h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $48 13h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $48 15h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $48 15h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $48 16h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $48 16h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $49 21h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $49 28h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $49 30h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $42 30h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $7 32h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $49 33h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $49 35h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $49 36h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $49 39h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $49 41h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $49 45h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $49 47h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $49 2d
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $49 2d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $49 2d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $49 2d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $49 2d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $50 2d
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $50 2d
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $50 2d
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $50 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 74 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 189 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 230 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1293 history records