Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:08:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5D 0x5dff…a5df other 11 markets active 5d ago coverage 3d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (636 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$13 (-1%) realized −$13 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$89per market
Trades / day635.6pace
Kalshi-fit9%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% −$44
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -5.0% -14.1% 0% 0% -13.5%
≤30d 11 -4.8% -13.8% 0% 0% -13.6%
≤90d 11 -4.8% -13.8% 0% 0% -13.6%
all 11 -4.8% -13.8% 0% 0% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover635.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 0% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 0% -21.9%
15% -29.6% 0% -29.4%
20% -36.5% 0% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
88.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$4 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage3d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day635.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit9%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 11 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $14 −$1 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $185 −$3 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $179 −$3 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $51 −$5 -10%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $123 −$8 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $98 −$14 -15%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $11 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $147 −$2 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $147 −$7 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $26 −$2 -7%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Jun 09 $1 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $0 4d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $2 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $0 5d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $0 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1639 history records