Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T21:12:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5e0e…7445 crypto 695 markets active 0h ago coverage 40d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 39d only
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,288 (-6%) realized −$1,288 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate56%390W / 305L
Drawdown91%max
Avg bet$31per market
Trades / day70.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,184
7 days+$112
14 days+$112
30 days+$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$127
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 252 -31.4% -38.0% 42% 37% -8.7%
≤30d 403 -14.2% -22.4% 52% 45% -9.1%
≤90d 695 -4.5% -13.6% 56% 45% -9.0%
all 695 -4.5% -13.6% 56% 45% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 45% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 35% -17.7%
15% -29.4% 24% -25.6%
20% -36.3% 13% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -19% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$12 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,288
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses390 / 305
Open positions0
Markets (closed)695 / 695
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$31
Trades / day70.3
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 695 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 24 $36 −$10 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $45 −$7 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 24 $48 −$26 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 24 $23 −$19 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 24 $42 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 24 $55 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 24 $48 −$19 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 24 $34 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $44 −$39 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 24 $46 +$30 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $28 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 24 $49 −$25 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 24 $49 −$44 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $56 +$14 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $56 −$52 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$30 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 24 $38 +$24 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 24 $53 −$24 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 24 $40 −$21 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 24 $61 −$13 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $54 +$31 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $32 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $61 +$30 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $61 −$48 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $62 −$61 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $44 −$8 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $32 +$9 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 24 $48 −$39 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 24 $29 +$16 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 24 $90 +$40 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $94 −$73 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $79 −$57 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $85 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 24 $77 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $18 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $34 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records