Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:41:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5e12…968d crypto 1335 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$78 (-1%) realized −$78 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate93%1246W / 89L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day52.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$15
14 days−$1
30 days−$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 252 +1.4% -8.3% 97% 6% -8.4%
≤30d 1335 -1.7% -11.0% 93% 11% -10.9%
≤90d 1335 -1.7% -11.0% 93% 11% -10.9%
all 1335 -1.7% -11.0% 93% 11% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 11% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 2% -19.5%
15% -27.3% 1% -27.2%
20% -34.4% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
86% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1246 / 89
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1335 / 1335
History coverage25d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day52.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1335 Trades
no open positions (86 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2585 history records