Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:45:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
5E 0x5e18…fea6 crypto 482 markets active 0h ago coverage 152d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$93 (-5%) realized −$93 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate60%286W / 194L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day6.2pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$60
7 days+$31
14 days+$31
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$69
sports 6% −$6
other 2% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -14.5% -22.6% 58% 33% -1.2%
≤30d 84 -14.7% -22.8% 57% 33% -1.9%
≤90d 264 -10.2% -18.7% 56% 39% -8.9%
all 480 -10.3% -18.8% 60% 37% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.8% 37% -11.8%
10% -26.6% 27% -20.3%
15% -33.7% 20% -28.0%
20% -40.2% 15% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.57 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

152d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses286 / 194
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)480 / 482
History coverage152d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 480 Trades
no open positions (67 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? AND Egypt leading at halftime? Jun 20 $4 +$4 +91%
Spain leading at halftime? AND Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? Jun 20 $2 $0 +10%
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? Jun 20 $10 +$13 +122%
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $79 +$35 +44%
Japan leading at halftime? AND Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? Jun 20 $5 +$4 +68%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? AND Germany leading at halftime? Jun 20 $10 +$3 +33%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +13%
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? AND Egypt leading at halftime? SELL 4¢ $4 2m
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? AND Egypt leading at halftime? BUY 2¢ $2 3m
Spain leading at halftime? AND Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? SELL 1¢ $2 4m
Spain leading at halftime? AND Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY 1¢ $2 5m
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? SELL 3¢ $5 7m
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? BUY 1¢ $2 8m
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? SELL 3¢ $5 9m
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? BUY 1¢ $2 9m
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? AND Egypt leading at halftime? SELL 4¢ $4 10m
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? AND Egypt leading at halftime? BUY 2¢ $2 11m
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? SELL 3¢ $5 11m
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? BUY 1¢ $2 12m
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? SELL 3¢ $5 13m
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? BUY 1¢ $2 14m
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? SELL 3¢ $5 14m
Uruguay leading at halftime? AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? BUY 1¢ $2 15m
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? BUY 3¢ $5 32m
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? BUY 3¢ $5 33m
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? SELL 4¢ $6 35m
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? BUY 3¢ $5 36m
Japan leading at halftime? AND Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? SELL 3¢ $9 38m
Japan leading at halftime? AND Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? BUY 2¢ $5 39m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? AND Germany leading at halftime? SELL 4¢ $7 39m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? AND Germany leading at halftime? BUY 3¢ $5 40m
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? SELL 4¢ $7 42m
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? BUY 3¢ $5 42m
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? SELL 4¢ $7 43m
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? BUY 3¢ $5 43m
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? SELL 4¢ $9 44m
Netherlands leading at halftime? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? BUY 3¢ $7 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $9.95 · 1218 history records