Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:14:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5e21…a7c2 crypto 204 markets active 17h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$80 (-4%) realized −$80 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate54%109W / 91L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day88.8pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$122
sports 2% +$38
other 1% −$10
world 1% −$12
weather 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 +4.1% -5.8% 54% 46% -15.3%
≤30d 200 +4.1% -5.8% 54% 46% -15.3%
≤90d 200 +4.1% -5.8% 54% 46% -15.3%
all 200 +4.1% -5.8% 54% 46% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover88.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 46% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 37% -23.4%
15% -23.1% 30% -30.8%
20% -30.6% 25% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +13% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$6 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$80
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses109 / 91
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)200 / 204
History coverage5d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day88.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 200 Trades
no open positions (76 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $30 −$17 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $13 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$3 -38%
Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World C Jun 18 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Jun 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the match not air? Jun 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $22 −$13 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $61 −$37 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $56 +$11 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $30 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $46 −$17 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $39 +$8 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $28 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$8 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $31 −$20 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$11 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $31 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $24 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $22 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 17h
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Qatar BUY 6¢ $4 37h
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-1 BUY 36¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 532 history records