Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:37:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e2a…7f8b
crypto · 851 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$512 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$512 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$512
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses703 / 161
Open positions0
Markets (closed)864 / 851
History coverage36d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day70.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 864 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$90
7 days−$221
14 days−$107
30 days−$506
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$26 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 +$81 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $103 +$64 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $101 −$88 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $17 +$18 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $70 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $81 −$80 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $61 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $70 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$413
other 0% +$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $20 13h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $131 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $46 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $51 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 348 -4.3% -13.4% 84% 25% -10.9%
≤30d 825 -2.4% -11.7% 82% 29% -10.9%
≤90d 864 -2.9% -12.1% 81% 29% -10.8%
all 864 -2.9% -12.1% 81% 29% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 29% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 17% -19.3%
15% -28.2% 11% -27.1%
20% -35.3% 9% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records