Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e2b…9101
crypto · 388 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$197 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$203 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$374
Realized−$203
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses225 / 155
Open positions8
Markets (closed)380 / 388
Avg bet$37
Trades / day3116.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 380 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$203
7 days−$203
14 days−$203
30 days−$203
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $77 $86 +$9 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $44 $73 +$29 (+66%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $30 $35 +$5 (+17%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $24 $25 +$1 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $20 $25 +$4 (+21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $15 $24 +$10 (+66%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+15%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $18 $21 +$3 (+19%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $16 $20 +$5 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $17 $20 +$3 (+17%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $12 $13 +$0 (+4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$2 (-83%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-93%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-97%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$37 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$4 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$4 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$4 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$27 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$10 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$27 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$7 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$10 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$13 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$2 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$17 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$7 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$10 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$23 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $88 −$6 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$6 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$14 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$3 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$4 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$3 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$5 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$2 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$194
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $14 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $11 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $9 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $20 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $14 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 380 +2.8% -7.0% 59% 37% -10.8%
≤30d 380 +2.8% -7.0% 59% 37% -10.8%
≤90d 380 +2.8% -7.0% 59% 37% -10.8%
all 380 +2.8% -7.0% 59% 37% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3116.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 37% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 21% -19.4%
15% -24.0% 9% -27.1%
20% -31.5% 6% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $373.99 · official $373.99 (match) · 3500 history records