Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:45:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e46…2bb0
crypto · 61 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$4 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$74
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses17 / 38
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)55 / 61
History coverage82d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 6 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 100¢ $7 $14 +$7 (+100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 35¢ 38¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 60¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) South Africa 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 +$14 +134%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +165%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 +$1 +73%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $2 $0 +14%
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $5 +$4 +83%
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $5 +$5 +93%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 06 $7 −$7 -99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 06 $7 −$7 -98%
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Mar 24 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Mar 23 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Mar 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Mar 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Mar 23 $1 +$3 +267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Mar 23 $1 +$4 +367%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Mar 23 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Mar 23 $1 +$3 +311%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Mar 23 $5 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Mar 23 $1 +$3 +281%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Mar 23 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Mar 23 $1 $0 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Mar 23 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Mar 23 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Mar 23 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Mar 23 $1 +$1 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% +$17
other 33% −$11
crypto 24% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 35¢ $10 1h
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 5d
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $5 6d
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 87¢ $2 6d
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 6d
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $5 6d
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $5 6d
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $2 6d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $7 6d
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 6d
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $10 6d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $7 6d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $3 6d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 6d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $3 6d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $7 6d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $10 6d
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) BUY South Africa 3¢ $1 6d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 6d
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 81d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 81d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 81d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 81d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 81d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 81d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -22.7% -30.1% 39% 39% -11.0%
≤30d 18 -22.7% -30.1% 39% 39% -11.0%
≤90d 55 -13.5% -21.8% 31% 29% -17.5%
all 55 -13.5% -21.8% 31% 29% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.8% 29% -17.5%
10% -29.2% 27% -25.4%
15% -36.1% 27% -32.6%
20% -42.3% 25% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.35 · official $74.35 (match) · 90 history records