trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 29% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 29% | 0% | -8.9% |
| all | 26 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 38% | 4% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 4% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 4% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 4% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 4% | -31.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 04 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 02 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $100 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 30 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 29 | $50 | −$1 | -3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 29 | $62 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%? | Jul 12 | $62 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Jul 12 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 12 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship? | Jul 12 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 11 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 11 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 10 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jul 10 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 10 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jul 08 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 08 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? | Jul 08 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jul 08 | $3 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Jul 07 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 01 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 09 | $11 | +$10 | +93% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31? | Apr 03 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 11 | $11 | $0 | +0% |