Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:32:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e50…5ec2
crypto · 19 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses10 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)19 / 19
History coverage6d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$3
other 5% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -21.3% -28.8% 53% 37% -26.7%
≤30d 19 -21.3% -28.8% 53% 37% -26.7%
≤90d 19 -21.3% -28.8% 53% 37% -26.7%
all 19 -21.3% -28.8% 53% 37% -26.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.8% 37% -26.7%
10% -35.6% 26% -33.7%
15% -41.8% 26% -40.1%
20% -47.5% 21% -46.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 41 history records