Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:56:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e55…8ffd
other · 84 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$14,894 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,703 · open −$2,191
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14,234
Realized−$12,703
Unrealized−$2,191
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses9 / 73
Whale WR (big bets)19%
Est. fees paid−$49
Open positions2
Markets (closed)82 / 84
History coverage205d
Avg bet$6,621
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 2 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$63
7 days−$207
14 days−$311
30 days−$7,306
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 50¢ 83¢ $5,642 $9,383 +$3,741 (+66%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Yes 14¢ 30¢ $1,400 $2,950 +$1,550 (+111%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 50¢ 17¢ $5,642 $1,901 −$3,741 (-66%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $23,154 +$63 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 10 $1,300 −$270 -21%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $152,646 $0 +0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 04 $636 −$102 -16%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? Jun 03 $16,050 −$2 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? May 29 $527 $0 -0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? May 28 $9,796 −$1,163 -12%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? May 25 $525 −$150 -29%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? May 24 $7,260 −$491 -7%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 21 $8,500 −$1,000 -12%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? May 20 $15,240 −$2,217 -14%
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 20 $4,005 −$1,467 -37%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? May 20 $18,364 −$28 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? May 19 $9,240 −$480 -5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? May 19 $9,457 +$1 +0%
Spread: Pistons (-4.5) May 18 $5 $0 +0%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 18 $9 +$1 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? May 17 $499 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? May 10 $6,781 −$9 -0%
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 13 $9,182 $0 +0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 13 $28,650 −$8 -0%
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? Apr 07 $25 −$16 -65%
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Apr 07 $56 −$26 -47%
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch? Apr 05 $371 −$307 -83%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 04 $8,118 −$281 -4%
Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? Apr 02 $25 −$25 -100%
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch? Apr 02 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? Apr 02 $20 −$20 -100%
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch? Apr 02 $60 −$60 -100%
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship? Apr 02 $56 −$56 -100%
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship? Apr 02 $107 −$107 -100%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open? Apr 02 $13 −$13 -100%
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch? Apr 02 $140 −$140 -100%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jan Apr 02 $19 −$19 -100%
Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch? Apr 02 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? Apr 02 $21 −$21 -100%
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch? Apr 02 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? Apr 02 $230 −$119 -52%
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship? Apr 02 $85 −$85 -100%
Will Tessa Thompson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? Apr 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Apr 02 $16 −$16 -100%
Will BNB dip to $600 in January? Apr 02 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? Apr 02 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Solana dip to $90 in January? Apr 02 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? Apr 02 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? Apr 02 $85 −$85 -100%
Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch? Apr 02 $210 −$210 -100%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? Apr 02 $2,185 −$2,185 -100%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua Apr 02 $310 −$310 -100%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Januar Apr 02 $90 −$90 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 65% −$7,920
world 14% −$636
crypto 7% −$1,648
economics 7% −$120
sports 3% −$2,379
finance 2% −$1,163
politics 2% $0
tech 0% −$934
culture 0% −$93
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $11,217 3h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $11,154 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 14¢ $1,400 47h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 11¢ $327 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 10¢ $25 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 10¢ $20 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 10¢ $658 3d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? BUY Yes 13¢ $1,300 3d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $91 9d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $443 9d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $636 9d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 12¢ $12,000 9d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $12,000 9d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? SELL Yes 6¢ $83 15d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? SELL Yes 6¢ $3 15d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? SELL Yes 6¢ $3 15d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? SELL Yes 6¢ $30 15d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? SELL Yes 6¢ $300 15d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 15d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? SELL Yes 6¢ $105 15d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? BUY Yes 6¢ $527 15d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 68¢ $37 15d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 68¢ $24 15d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 67¢ $2 15d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 67¢ $7 15d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 67¢ $2,641 15d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 67¢ $2,680 15d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 67¢ $497 15d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 71¢ $89 15d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 71¢ $44 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-36.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -6.8% -15.7% 33% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 18 -8.1% -16.8% 22% 0% -11.9%
≤90d 58 -56.8% -60.9% 10% 0% -12.8%
all 82 -29.2% -36.0% 11% 2% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.0% 2% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -42.1% 2% -21.1%
15% -47.7% 2% -28.8%
20% -52.8% 2% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14,234.00 · official $14,284.00 (match) · 712 history records