Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T09:17:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
5E 0x5e56…a7f6 crypto 151 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1048 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL −$3,158 (-10%) realized −$3,160 · open +$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +173% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +110% what you keep after slip
Net edge+110%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate39%137W / 215L
Whale WR7%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$210per market
Trades / day1048.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$152now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$255
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1048 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+147.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 352 +173.0% +147.0% 39% 33% -12.4%
≤30d 352 +173.0% +147.0% 39% 33% -12.4%
≤90d 352 +173.0% +147.0% 39% 33% -12.4%
all 352 +173.0% +147.0% 39% 33% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1048.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +147.0% 33% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here +123.3% 28% -20.8%
15% +101.8% 26% -28.4%
20% +82.0% 24% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +173% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 7% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +16% → late +330% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
19.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$33 vs −$26 · ×1.29 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$152
Realized−$3,160
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses137 / 215
Whale WR (big bets)7%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)352 / 151
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$210
Trades / day1048.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 352 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 6¢ 6¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 237 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$13 -394%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 29 $13 −$21 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$5 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 29 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 29 $2 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 29 $16 −$21 -131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 29 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$30 -2693%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 29 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 29 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$5 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 29 $1 +$3 +484%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 29 $7 +$9 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 29 $1 +$22 +2223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 29 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 29 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$16 +4031%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 29 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$14 +4808%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 29 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 29 $20 −$21 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 29 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 29 $8 −$9 -115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 29 $15 −$16 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 29 $1 +$4 +319%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 29 $16 −$20 -126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 29 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 29 $3 +$17 +530%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 29 $14 −$15 -110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 29 $9 +$25 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$9 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 29 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $32 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $32 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $32 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $32 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $32 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $32 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $32 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $32 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $45 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $31 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $411 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $32 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $32 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $31 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $31 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $31 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $32 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $32 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $32 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $32 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $19 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $13 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $32 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $30 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $32 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $32 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $31 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $93 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $151.69 · official $320.73 · 3500 history records