Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e5c…196e
crypto · 422 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$374 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$374 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$374
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses166 / 280
Open positions0
Markets (closed)446 / 422
History coverage25d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day125.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 446 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$132
7 days−$126
14 days−$240
30 days−$374
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$4 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 04 $27 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 02 $27 −$2 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$237
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -37.0% -43.0% 24% 22% -50.2%
≤30d 446 -7.3% -16.1% 37% 20% -13.8%
≤90d 446 -7.3% -16.1% 37% 20% -13.8%
all 446 -7.3% -16.1% 37% 20% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover125.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 20% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 14% -22.0%
15% -31.5% 10% -29.6%
20% -38.2% 7% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records