Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:52:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5e60…e468 crypto 1993 markets active 0h ago coverage 34d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$403 (+1%) realized +$403 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate70%1508W / 646L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day58.9pace
Kalshi-fit72%portable
Net worth$106now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,506
7 days−$1,073
14 days−$574
30 days−$263
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% +$1,766
other 6% −$442
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 604 -41.4% -47.0% 44% 33% -33.9%
≤30d 1650 -11.4% -19.8% 68% 55% -10.9%
≤90d 2154 -9.1% -17.8% 70% 56% -10.3%
all 2154 -9.1% -17.8% 70% 56% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 56% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 34% -18.9%
15% -32.8% 21% -26.7%
20% -39.4% 12% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$9 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$106
Realized+$403
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1508 / 646
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2154 / 1993
History coverage34d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day58.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2154 Trades
no open positions (495 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $90 7m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $77 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $89 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $84 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $85 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 8h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $83 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $105.85 · official $105.85 (match) · 3500 history records