trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 117 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 21% | 20% | +12.5% |
| ≤30d | 135 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 22% | 21% | +8.8% |
| ≤90d | 135 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 22% | 21% | +8.8% |
| all | 135 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 22% | 21% | +8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.6% | 21% | +8.8% |
| 10% | -21.9% | 21% | -1.6% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 21% | -11.1% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 21% | -19.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $50 | $44 | −$6 (-12%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 12¢ | $30 | $41 | +$11 (+37%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $45 | $40 | −$5 (-12%) |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 22¢ | $30 | $34 | +$4 (+12%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5 | Under | 6¢ | 8¢ | $20 | $28 | +$8 (+41%) |
| Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | IR Iran | 3¢ | 1¢ | $30 | $16 | −$14 (-46%) |
| Spread: IR Iran (-2.5) | IR Iran | 1¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $4 | −$6 (-61%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 21 | $51 | +$110 | +216% |
| Spread: Spain (-5.5) | Jun 21 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Jun 21 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $51 | +$134 | +262% |
| Spread: Japan (-3.5) | Jun 21 | $103 | +$1,008 | +982% |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $102 | +$398 | +388% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $51 | +$403 | +785% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5 | Jun 21 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-4.5) | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 | Jun 20 | $31 | +$307 | +997% |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Sweden (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Spread: Sweden (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 0.5 | Jun 20 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Brazil (-4.5) | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Spread: Morocco (-4.5) | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Spread: Morocco (-3.5) | Jun 19 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Spread: Morocco (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $102 | +$131 | +129% |
| Spread: Australia (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5 | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Spread: United States (-5.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: United States (-4.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: United States (-3.5) | Jun 19 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |