Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e89…ce14
crypto · 416 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$312 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$312 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$312
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses173 / 243
Open positions0
Markets (closed)416 / 416
History coverage3d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day1124.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 416 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$208
7 days−$312
14 days−$312
30 days−$312
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$17 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$312
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 416 +3.7% -6.1% 42% 28% -13.0%
≤30d 416 +3.7% -6.1% 42% 28% -13.0%
≤90d 416 +3.7% -6.1% 42% 28% -13.0%
all 416 +3.7% -6.1% 42% 28% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1124.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 28% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 19% -21.3%
15% -23.3% 14% -28.9%
20% -30.8% 11% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records