Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5e8d…2877
crypto · 356 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$119 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$118 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$118
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses242 / 113
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)355 / 356
History coverage80d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 355 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$343
7 days+$343
14 days+$343
30 days+$343
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 64¢ 72¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on March 26? No 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 29? No 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$19 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% +$182
weather 18% −$98
economics 9% −$41
sports 7% +$89
world 3% +$28
other 2% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 269 +5.3% -4.7% 68% 64% +0.8%
≤30d 269 +5.3% -4.7% 68% 64% +0.8%
≤90d 355 +1.1% -8.6% 68% 61% -7.1%
all 355 +1.1% -8.6% 68% 61% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.6% 61% -7.1%
10% -17.3% 45% -16.0%
15% -25.3% 31% -24.1%
20% -32.6% 20% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.17 · official $8.98 · 915 history records