Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:24:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5e9b…7894 crypto 1635 markets active 6d ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d only
✗ bot/MM pace (571 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,168 (+5%) realized +$1,168 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate54%863W / 725L
Drawdown93%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day571.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,113
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (571 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 781 -41.7% -47.3% 39% 25% -23.9%
≤30d 1588 -8.3% -17.0% 54% 38% -8.9%
≤90d 1588 -8.3% -17.0% 54% 38% -8.9%
all 1588 -8.3% -17.0% 54% 38% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover571.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 38% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 29% -17.6%
15% -32.2% 21% -25.6%
20% -38.9% 15% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +24% → late -40% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×0.87 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,168
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses863 / 725
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1588 / 1635
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day571.4
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1588 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $106 −$106 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $83 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $30 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $25 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $11 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $95 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $9 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $67 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $62 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $43 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $120 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records