Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:54:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5ebb…ec94
crypto · 391 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$110 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses199 / 192
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)391 / 391
History coverage46d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 391 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$151
7 days+$57
14 days+$124
30 days+$124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$28 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$28 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$28 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$23 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$28 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$61
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 6h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 0¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 316 +1.8% -7.9% 51% 51% -7.9%
≤30d 349 +2.2% -7.6% 51% 51% -6.3%
≤90d 391 +3.0% -6.8% 51% 51% -8.3%
all 391 +3.0% -6.8% 51% 51% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.8% 51% -8.3%
10% -15.7% 50% -17.1%
15% -23.9% 49% -25.1%
20% -31.3% 49% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1001 history records