Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:39:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5ebc…5692 crypto 61 markets active 13d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3437 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$3,265 (-44%) realized −$3,265 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate53%37W / 33L
Drawdown20%max
Avg bet$122per market
Trades / day3437.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$202
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3437 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 70 -8.2% -16.9% 53% 6% -7.3%
≤90d 70 -8.2% -16.9% 53% 6% -7.3%
all 70 -8.2% -16.9% 53% 6% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3437.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 6% -7.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 3% -16.2%
15% -32.1% 1% -24.3%
20% -38.8% 1% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 38% · top 2 48% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late -25% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
56.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$4 · ×2.11 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.36 per $1 lost it wins $2.36
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,265
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses37 / 33
Open positions0
Markets (closed)70 / 61
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$122
Trades / day3437.0
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 70 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $36 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $243 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $173 −$35 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $87 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $130 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $146 +$9 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $77 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $178 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $104 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $78 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $94 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $131 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $119 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $103 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $53 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $167 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $197 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $112 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $123 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $141 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $308 −$9 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $105 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $139 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $185 +$17 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $120 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $119 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $108 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $108 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $74 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $135 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $90 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $111 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $83 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $137 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $138 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $123 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $76 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $151 +$6 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records