Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5ecd…1419
crypto · 1112 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,938 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,943 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$203
Realized−$2,943
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses887 / 236
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1123 / 1112
History coverage14d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day189.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,851
7 days−$2,051
14 days−$2,943
30 days−$2,943
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $163 $179 +$16 (+10%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 40¢ 74¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+86%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 58¢ 57¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 51¢ 56¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $152 $0 −$152 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $182 −$182 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$173 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $304 −$304 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $187 −$187 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $313 −$313 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $253 −$253 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $193 −$193 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$12 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +113%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +49%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$11 +133%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,225
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $8 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $7 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $8 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 540 -6.7% -15.6% 66% 30% -15.2%
≤30d 1123 -3.5% -12.7% 79% 15% -11.9%
≤90d 1123 -3.5% -12.7% 79% 15% -11.9%
all 1123 -3.5% -12.7% 79% 15% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover189.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 15% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 14% -20.3%
15% -28.7% 12% -28.0%
20% -35.7% 11% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $203.42 · official $202.06 (match) · 3500 history records