Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:55:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5ed5…776b
economics · 3 markets active 10h ago
0.5score
−$4,219 -56%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$568 · open −$3,651
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP economics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,171
Realized−$568
Unrealized−$3,651
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage17d
Avg bet$2,515
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$568
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2,000 $1,209 −$791 (-40%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3,822 $962 −$2,860 (-75%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 26 $1,431 −$568 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 100% −$4,219
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-45.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 -39.7% -45.4% 0% 0% -45.4%
≤90d 1 -39.7% -45.4% 0% 0% -45.4%
all 1 -39.7% -45.4% 0% 0% -45.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -45.4% 0% -45.4%
10% -50.6% 0% -50.6%
15% -55.4% 0% -55.4%
20% -59.8% 0% -59.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,170.90 · official $2,812.47 · 8 history records