Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5edc…bbad
other · 711 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$20,898 +37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$385 · open −$10,136
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,036
Realized+$385
Unrealized−$10,136
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses213 / 105
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions457
Markets (closed)318 / 711
History coverage12d
Avg bet$78
Trades / day171.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 457 History 318 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$237
7 days+$2,006
14 days+$385
30 days+$385
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 97¢ 100¢ $204 $210 +$6 (+3%)
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $173 $173 +$0 (+0%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 97¢ 97¢ $168 $169 +$1 (+1%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 86¢ 90¢ $149 $157 +$8 (+5%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No 100¢ 100¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No 99¢ 100¢ $149 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No 100¢ 100¢ $149 $149 +$0 (+0%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No 100¢ 100¢ $125 $125 +$0 (+0%)
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 100¢ $109 $110 +$1 (+1%)
Will Arthur Fils be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 100¢ $109 $110 +$1 (+1%)
Will Hubert Hurkacz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 100¢ 100¢ $109 $110 +$0 (+0%)
Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 +$0 (+0%)
Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 +$0 (+0%)
Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 −$0 (-0%)
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 +$0 (+0%)
Will Andrey Rublev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 +$0 (+0%)
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 −$0 (-0%)
Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 99¢ $109 $109 −$1 (-1%)
Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 97¢ 99¢ $107 $109 +$2 (+2%)
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 98¢ $109 $108 −$0 (-0%)
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 97¢ 98¢ $107 $108 +$0 (+0%)
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 86¢ 98¢ $95 $107 +$13 (+13%)
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 98¢ 98¢ $108 $107 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 99¢ 97¢ $108 $107 −$1 (-1%)
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 84¢ 100¢ $89 $105 +$16 (+19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $60 +$2 +3%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $61 +$1 +1%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $61 +$1 +2%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $62 $0 +1%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $61 +$1 +2%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $62 $0 +1%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $62 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $461 +$39 +8%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -64%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 Jun 12 $18 +$15 +84%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43 Jun 12 $28 +$5 +18%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 12 $557 +$52 +9%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $6 +$51 +900%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $56 +$1 +2%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $56 +$1 +1%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $435 +$66 +15%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $711 +$124 +18%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $691 +$144 +21%
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $736 +$100 +14%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $730 +$105 +14%
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $338 −$8 -2%
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $269 +$61 +22%
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $102 +$228 +224%
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $337 −$7 -2%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 11 $468 −$228 -49%
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 11 $93 +$144 +156%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 11 $2 +$7 +455%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $140 +$13 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 11? Jun 10 $14 $0 +0%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–J Jun 10 $52 +$1 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Jun Jun 10 $5 +$10 +186%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on Ju Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will "David" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 10 $3 +$12 +426%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 10 $20 +$5 +22%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 10 $64 −$64 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Jun Jun 10 $13 +$2 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Will "Lawmen: Bass Reeves" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 10 $28 +$2 +9%
Will "AFI Life Achievement Award: A Tribute to Eddie Murphy" be the #2 Jun 10 $28 +$2 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7? Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6? Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5? Jun 10 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $134-$136 on the final day of trading of Jun 10 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% −$8,331
politics 28% −$491
sports 6% −$533
tech 5% −$453
weather 3% +$269
world 3% −$12
economics 2% −$212
culture 1% +$13
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $61 1h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele BUY No 49¢ $30 1h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $61 1h
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $62 1h
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 85¢ $53 1h
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 74¢ $46 1h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $62 1h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $60 1h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $61 1h
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $62 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee BUY No 95¢ $76 1h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meet BUY No 7¢ $6 1h
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 64¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 32¢ $129 4h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 31¢ $34 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 72¢ $365 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $461 4h
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 7¢ $1 6h
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 86¢ $9 6h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 80¢ $25 6h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 80¢ $39 6h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 84¢ $68 6h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 46¢ $37 6h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY No 98¢ $79 6h
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY No 95¢ $77 6h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY No 94¢ $75 6h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 87¢ $35 7h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 75¢ $30 7h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 47¢ $19 7h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY No 93¢ $37 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+36.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 +54.5% +39.8% 70% 35% -18.5%
≤30d 318 +51.1% +36.7% 67% 34% -21.5%
≤90d 318 +51.1% +36.7% 67% 34% -21.5%
all 318 +51.1% +36.7% 67% 34% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover171.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +36.7% 34% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here +23.6% 25% -29.0%
15% +11.7% 20% -35.9%
20% +0.7% 16% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,035.64 · official $9,062.61 (match) · 3500 history records