Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:32:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5E
0x5ee5…2a3d
crypto · 1740 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$524 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$527 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$23
Realized−$527
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1694 / 127
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1821 / 1740
Avg bet$8
Trades / day18.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1821 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$420
7 days−$400
14 days−$354
30 days−$515
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+16%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$61
sports 1% −$160
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 442 -18.0% -25.8% 79% 5% -20.8%
≤30d 820 -9.3% -18.0% 87% 5% -16.9%
≤90d 1663 -4.9% -13.9% 92% 3% -13.3%
all 1821 -4.3% -13.4% 93% 3% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 3% -12.9%
10% -21.7% 1% -21.2%
15% -29.3% 0% -28.8%
20% -36.2% 0% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.79 · official $22.79 (match) · 3500 history records