Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:56:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5ee7…0556 crypto 54 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$17 (-3%) realized −$12 · open −$5
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate49%26W / 27L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day32.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$63
sports 4% +$7
world 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -5.6% -14.6% 49% 45% -14.7%
≤30d 53 -5.6% -14.6% 49% 45% -14.7%
≤90d 53 -5.6% -14.6% 49% 45% -14.7%
all 53 -5.6% -14.6% 49% 45% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 45% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 42% -22.8%
15% -30.2% 38% -30.3%
20% -37.0% 38% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$10 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses26 / 27
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)53 / 54
History coverage3d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day32.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 53 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 24 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$3 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$18 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$4 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$16 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$20 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $31 −$30 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$6 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$25 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $20 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$46 +174%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $12 +$10 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$30 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$27 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$24 -94%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$19 -99%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $9 +$11 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$6 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$5 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$14 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +97%
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand? Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand? Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $3 −$3 -99%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $5 +$3 +63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $9 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $6 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $34 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $49 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 0¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $5.36 · 103 history records