Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T16:53:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5E 0x5eee…a16a crypto 43 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$4 (+0%) realized +$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%42W / 1L
Drawdown7%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day55.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$21now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -8.7%
≤30d 43 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -8.7%
≤90d 43 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -8.7%
all 43 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -17.4%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.4%
20% -33.4% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×15.13 per $1 lost it wins $15.13
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$21
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses42 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)43 / 43
History coverage1d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day55.0
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 43 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 23 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$1 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.04 · official $21.04 (match) · 100 history records