Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:41:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f06…ab00
crypto · 21 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$597 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$338 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$338
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses12 / 9
Est. fees paid−$115
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage14d
Avg bet$123
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$141
7 days−$33
14 days+$338
30 days+$338
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 15¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$67 +252%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $613 +$115 +19%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,177 −$135 -12%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 09 $31 $0 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $102 −$40 -39%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $235 +$264 +112%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $248 +$108 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$312
crypto 7% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $14 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $14 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $93 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $26 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 33¢ $728 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 22¢ $102 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $102 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $102 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $204 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 32¢ $102 8h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 15¢ $153 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 14¢ $382 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +2.6% -7.2% 53% 47% -11.0%
≤30d 21 +31.3% +18.8% 57% 52% +3.4%
≤90d 21 +31.3% +18.8% 57% 52% +3.4%
all 21 +31.3% +18.8% 57% 52% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +18.8% 52% +3.4%
10% +7.4% 48% -6.5%
15% -3.0% 38% -15.5%
20% -12.5% 33% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 77 history records